| |
|
|
Home
Daily Stock Tips Information
Subscription Options
Resources & Links Login
Daily Stock Tips Free Report#2:
How to Use FREE
Websites to Increase Your Trading Profits
The World Wide Web
(abbreviated as "www," the beginning to most web addresses) is
better known simply as the Internet. But there is nothing simple
about the information that is available absolutely free to traders
around the world. In fact, traders today have access to newer,
better, and certainly more timely information over the Internet than
the richest investors of only 20 years ago could buy.
There are literally thousands of websites offering "free" services
to traders and investors of every type from novice to the most
experienced. Many of these websites charge substantial fees for
access to their information. Typically the most expensive websites
are those promoting the latest "hot" trading tips. There are other
quality pay sites which offer detailed information, timely
fundamental or technical data that is of interest to select groups
of traders.
But one of the phenomenon's of the Internet is the vast array of
websites that offer high quality, timely information for that best
of all prices - FREE. It is not our purpose to review for pay
websites in this essay. Rather we are focusing on only the three
best out of many hundred websites that provide financial information
in one form or another to all of you who simply have access to a
computer and the Internet.
Remember, you don't even have to own your own computer to take
advantage. Almost all public libraries now provide some type of
access to the Internet to their patrons. One big advantage of a
public library, especially for those of you who are a bit timid
about taking the big step of "surfing the Internet" for the first
time, is that the library staff will help you get started.
Getting Price Quotes
The most basic
piece of investment information for every trader is prices. You have
to know what the prices are on a regular reliable basis to know if
you are making or losing money. It is the whole point of the
business.
One of the most notable advantages of Internet access is the ability
to get price quotes in a much more timely manner. If you try to
trade the stock, option or futures markets by watching price quotes
in your daily newspaper, you are putting yourself at a distinct
disadvantage in more ways than one.
Most daily newspapers do no more than cover a relatively small
selection of stocks. If you are looking to find that undiscovered
gem, that next Microsoft, then it is likely that your local daily
newspaper is not going to cover the stocks that you are really
interested in trading.
Second, even the very best financial newspapers, the Wall Street
Journal and Investors' Business Daily¸ carry the daily price quotes
for only a very small segment of the total number of stocks and
options traded. Remember for every stock that is traded with
options, there are many series of options reflecting different
strike prices and different expiration dates. Your daily newspaper
would have to be about the size of an encyclopedia simply to cover
all the possible options. And guess what, that one option that you
want to follow, will not be among the option prices quoted everyday
in your newspaper.
But even if your newspaper carries the price for that option on the
stock, option, or futures contract that you happen to need, the
price appearing in today's newspaper is already a day old! It is
yesterday's prices. Today's trading action will not appear until
tomorrow's paper comes out. That's no way to trade.
One of the most valuable free websites you will ever find is
www.pcquote.com. Pcquote carries today's prices today for every New York Stock
Exchange, American Stock Exchange, NASDAQ, and many other
Over-the-counter and foreign stock prices. Its free service provides
these quotes with a 15 minute delay. You can pay extra and eliminate
that 15 minute delay, but there is little reason to incur that
additional expense for most traders.
15 minutes after the market closes - that's 1:15 pm out here on the
West Coast - you can find out today's closing price as well as the
total price action (the opening, high, low, closing price and
volume) for virtually any stock you need. No more waiting for
tomorrow's newspaper. But remember, you don't have to wait for the
closing price to find out what is happening to your stocks during
the day. The site continually updates price quotes on a delayed
basis throughout the day.
But even more exciting than the great coverage for stock prices is
the comprehensive coverage that
www.pcquote.com provides for option traders. No newspaper
carries every option. It would be impossible. But on
www.pcquote.com you can
find the current price quote for any option that is currently being
traded. Like stocks the prices are 15 minutes delayed, but that is
sure better than being 24 hours delayed like in a newspaper.
One of the most confusing things about option prices is the vast
number of possibilities that every active stock that has options
makes possible. At www.pcquote.com
you simply type in the symbol of the stock that interests you and it
will show you an option "chain" or a list of the most commonly
traded options for the stock. But never fear, the website carries
the prices for all the options available if the one that interests
you does not happen to be among the most commonly traded.
We like pcquote's clean interface and the ability to easily get
current prices. It has many other features that are valuable to
traders. For any stock you can get not only the latest quote, but a
chart showing price history, or even the latest news on the stock of
interest. But that is not all. The site features lists of the most
active (highest volume), the biggest percentage gaining or
percentage losing stocks, and many other valuable pieces of
information. You can even find out which stocks are being upgraded
or downgraded by the leading brokerage firm analysts.
And that is not all. Click on the screening button on the first page
and it takes you to a page that automatically sorts through all
stocks to find those that meet pre-set parameters. This page alone
may save you literally hours of research.
Serious investors know that
www.pcquote.com is one of the most valuable financial
websites you will find at any price. And its price is free.
Unearthing Information on Stocks
Microsoft provides
one of the best financial websites of all:
www.investor.com.
This site is also known as
www.moneycentral.com. It used to be a pay site -
getting about $35 a month for subscribers. But a few years ago it
went free. It was a bargain at $35 a month - now it is unbelievable!
Want to find out details about what a company does, how well it does
it, how it handles its money, how fast it is growing, how it
compares to other stocks in its industry or any of hundreds of other
questions? Then this is the place for you.
On the home page for this excellent site, you can easily go to a
number of valuable pages. This one site provides one of the best
overviews of daily market action. Want to find out what industry
groups are drawing interest, what stocks are in the headlines, what
the latest economic report means to you and your investments, it is
all here one simple mouse click away.
Type in the symbol of a stock you are interested in researching (or
type in the name of the company and it will find the stock symbol
for your). You will be taken to a multi-page report on that company.
At a glance you can find out trading information like average
volume, 52 week high and low, percentage price change for the last
day and much more. The very first page includes a summary of key
fundamental data such as PE (price earning) ratio, dividend,
dividend yield, number of outstanding shares, and market
capitalization (stock price times the number of outstanding shares).
Click on stock history and get an easy to understand capsule summary
of the company and more information on the stock. Want to know the
company's latest news, click on the news tab and it brings up things
like earnings reports, management changes, new product
announcements, all of which can be viewed in detail with another
click of the mouse.
It will also give you earnings from the past, and importantly,
analysts' projections of earnings to come. Earnings tend to drive
stock prices. This is valuable information.
If research is your forte then
www.investor.com is the site for you. It is too
comprehensive to detail all its features here, but take the time to
visit this site and we are willing to bet that you will be going
back time after time. It has everything from commentary from some of
the leading minds in the investment business, to tools for screening
for stocks that meet your parameters, on-going education for not
only stock investing but financial planning. Learn about all aspects
of your financial life from investing to insurance to retirement
planning.
www.investor.com
is a great site that should not be missed by serious traders.
The Best Price Charts Available Anywhere!
One of the most
popular financial websites features comprehensive charting services:
www.bigcharts.com.. When you first arrive at the
www.bigcharts.com
site, the very first things you see are charts with current prices
(15 minute delayed) for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and
the NASDAQ Composite. Left click with your mouse on either chart and
it takes you quickly to an expanded chart of the index you chose.
Charts are critical to the success of most traders simply because
they tell you at a glance what the stock price has been doing for
the past 6 months, or year or 2 years or longer. You can draw charts
for virtually any time frame you want.
The great thing about
www.bigcharts.com is that you are not limited to a single
chart type or time frame. There are three different types of charts.
A "quick" chart is just what it says. Very quickly you can see an
expanded chart of whatever stock or market index you want to see.
You can spell out the time frame in a quick chart from 1 day all the
way to 1 decade.
But you will quickly move on from "quick" charts because the other
types offer you more possibilities for customizing the charts you
want to see. Click on "interactive" and you are offered a wide range
of choices for what charts you can draw and what studies you can put
on each chart. You can spell out the time frame, but you can also
include a wide variety of technical studies (things like On Balance
Volume, MACD, RSI, moving averages and much more). One of the nice
features of the interactive charts is that you can save your
favorite chart template with just those things that you want to see
on a chart. Then each time you go to the website it will draw the
chart exactly the way you want it. You don't have to go through all
the steps of designing the components for the chart every time you
visit the site.
Then all you have to do to quickly review the charts of a number of
stocks is type in the symbols (or the names) of each stock when you
are finished reviewing each company. You can quickly review 5, 10,
15, 20 or even more stocks every night in only a few minutes.
The last type of chart is a "java" chart. This is the most
sophisticated of all the charts. Once again like, the interactive
chart you can specify what you want to see. For example, many people
prefer to use "candlestick" charts instead of the more common bar
charts. You can even look at a chart of just the closing prices if
you are not interested in the high and low range each day.
One of the advantages of the java chart is that you can see the
exact prices for all the days, weeks, or months on the chart simply
by moving your cursor over the chart. As it passes each day it tells
you the date, the open, high, low, and closing price. For example if
you pull up a six month chart, you can easily see the exact prices
for each trading day for all six months. You can draw daily, weekly,
monthly, quarterly and even yearly charts that give you exact prices
and provides a long term perspective that goes back up to 10 years.
The java charts enable you to easily draw trend lines between key
chart points. You can zoom in and out on key chart areas to get
better detail on dates and price action that are important to
understand a stocks behavior. The java charts even include icons
that highlight up or down earnings dates, stock splits, and
dividends.
The www.bigcharts.com website
includes many more features too numerous to detail here. For
example, one of the most widely employed analytical tools used by
successful investors is to concentrate on those industry groups that
are outperforming the market averages. It is said that 70% of a
stock's direction comes from the market direction. Another 20% comes
from the stock's industry group. The last 10% comes from the stock
itself.
At www.bigcharts.com
simply click on the "industries" button on the home page and it
takes to a comprehensive review of not only how different industry
groups are performing but the names of the individual stocks that
make up each industry group. Take it from us, professional traders
monitor industry group relative strength far more closely than the
average investor. Professional traders make more money than the
average public trader. It makes sense to do what the very best
traders do! Watch industry group rotation to spot stocks that are
early in their cyclic upturns.
In the investment world, even more than the art world, a picture is
indeed worth a thousand words. Chart reading is critical to trading
success and www.bigcharts.com
features free access to the most modern state-of-the-art charts
available.
All three of these
websites provide invaluable information at a price that can't be
beat. If you have access to the Internet, check them out today. If
you don't have easy access at the moment, take the time to go to a
public library, armed with this essay and take a look at all the
information you can access quickly for free! The Internet can indeed
make you a more successful trader, but you need to know how to be
able to separate the wheat from the chaff. And make no mistake. The
vast majority of financial websites are pure junk and hokum. These
three sites are the cream of the crop.
Visit the three sites listed here. Learn to use their best features.
They can make you a more profitable trader without spending another
dime!
FREE STOCK REPORT: Daily Stock
Tips...Daily Stock Picks...Free Report
Four Big Mistakes that Traders Make
and How to Avoid Them
The definition of
insanity is doing the same thing time after time and expecting
different results. Unfortunately beginning and even experienced
traders, who have not progressed to making money on a steady basis,
tend to make the same mistakes time after time.
And those mistakes are not related to fundamental research, chart
reading, interpretation of technical indicators, or specific buy and
sell techniques. Rather they stem from a trader's mental approach to
trading.
The practical tools: fundamental research (sorting through a
company's financial data, its earnings and cash condition, and its
future growth prospects), technical analysis (reading charts,
interpreting indicators like volume, relative strength, momentum
etc), and understanding what type of orders to use and when (limit
orders to enter a trade, stop loss orders to protect a trade, and
market orders to exit with profits) are simply tools.
Every mechanic has a set of tools but we all have known one of more
who were able to perform virtual "magic" on our cars while others
with the same tools plod along helping sometimes, but only making
things worse other times. They just don't have the skill or
abilities of that great mechanic.
The same goes for traders. Now with home computers and easy access
to the Internet we all have access to the same basic tools that in
days past were thought to give significant advantages to a select
few. But surprisingly enough, the widespread availability of timely
information and analytical tools that only 20 years cost so much
that only the very largest institutions or the very wealthiest of
individuals could afford, has not resulted in a greater percentage
of profitable traders. The reason why is that traders today make the
same mistakes as traders did long before the PC or the Internet.
Better tools do not make for better traders.
During the late 1990s the roaring bull market combined with the
stunning technological advances to give all too many traders the
illusion that times had changed forever. Most of you know people who
made huge profits in a few short years. These same nouveau traders
were suddenly "experts" willing, in fact all too willing, to share
their so-called "wisdom" with the masses.
The rise of day trading on home computers was the final stage of
this speculative bubble that was building up to burst mightily. You
remember the ads: "You can make a great living trading while sitting
in your underwear trading with your computer in your own home!"
Of course the market topped in March 2000, and over the next 3 years
the NASDAQ, where the biggest gains had been made, crashed 75%. Many
stocks did even worse. And all too sadly, most traders caught up in
their own feelings of invincibility wound up not only losing their
profits but often much more.
Successful traders know that the business of trading is part art and
part science. If science alone was enough, then all you would need
would be a computer program to pump out buy and sell signals based
on back testing of stock data back to the beginning of the market.
But such a program does not exist regardless of what you may read in
wild eyed advertisements. If it did, the developer would already
have won most of the money in the world and wouldn't need to sell it
to you for $1,000!
In the pages that follow we detail the four biggest mistakes that
traders make. This is based on over 30 years trading experience in
the trenches ourselves as well as extensive interviews with many
traders from the stock to the options to the futures markets. What
is amazing is the consistency that these traders exhibit when asked
to decipher what mistakes a trader must avoid to be consistently
successful.
Mistake #1 Failure to have a consistent trade selection method
Most traders, most
advisories, most Internet chat groups talk about profits Few ever take the time to point out that profits are
actually relatively easy to handle. Losses are the hard part of
trading. And yes, they are an inevitable part of trading. Until you
learn, understand, and live with this fact of trading you will never
succeed over the long term. A good case in point are all those big
talkers in 1998-1999 who you never hear from anymore.
The key to separating yourself from the mass of losing traders is
developing a consistent method for selecting your trades. Your trade
selection plan should be written out. It should spell out the
factors that MUST be present to buy (or sell short) prior to taking
action.
Factors to base your trade on could consist of things such as
earnings. For example many successful traders will only buy stock in
companies that show an annual earnings growth rate of 25% to 50%.
Earnings are reported quarterly. If a company shows two consecutive
quarters of decelerating earnings, that may be the signal to sell
the stock or even consider going short.
It is not the purpose of this essay to detail every possible trading
plan. We recommend that you take a look at William O'Neill's How to
Make Money in Stocks, as one good starting point, though there are
many others. Earnings growth is only one factor and not necessarily
the most important one.
Other traders like to concentrate on technical factors. For example,
they only want to buy stocks which are going up faster than the
market as a whole. This is called relative strength. It is common to
compare a stock's rise in price to the S&P 500 index. If it is
rising faster than the S&P Index, then it is outperforming the
market. That is has a strong relative strength. It is strong
relative to the market as measured by the S&P 500 index. It stands
to reason that stocks that outperform the market averages will be
the biggest winners over time.
In another report of ours: How to Use Four Free Internet Site to
Increase Your Profits, we detail for you the exact web addresses
where you can locate information on earnings, growth rates, cash
flow, relative strength, chart patterns, and a myriad of other
potential inputs.
The most important tip we can give you here is to keep it simple.
Don't get caught up with developing a 30 point checklist. You will
never make a trade then. Include parameters that make sense to you.
If buying high relative strength stocks does not make sense to you,
then don't do it.
One of the most successful investors of all time, Peter Lynch, based
his whole investment philosophy on buying only those stocks that
made sense to him. He got some of his best ideas from his wife who
would come home and tell him about a great new store or product she
discovered while shopping the mall. He'd do a bit of research and
sometimes that company would be in the early stages of a great
growth cycle.
The Internet with its flood of information makes it all too easy to
create trading plans that are so convoluted and complex that they
may be great in the world of theory but useless in the real world of
trading.
Pick out a checklist of 5 to 10 things, combining fundamental
factors like earnings cash in the bank, cash flow etc with a few
technical inputs such as relative strength, chart formations, timing
signals, and/or seasonal tendencies (80% of all the profits in the
history of the stock market occur between November and March).
Mistake #2 Failure to Have a Profit Target
Once you know what
you want to see to buy a stock, determine a reasonable price target.
It doesn't make sense to buy a $10 stock that has the potential to
go to $11 over the next year. That is only 10%. If you buy 100
shares of five $10 stocks and they all go up $1 in a year you just
made $500. But it wouldn't take much to wipe that out. If you bought
100 shares of a sixth stock at $10, and it dropped to $5 in a year,
you would have lost $500 on that stock, and wiped out the gains on
your five profitable stocks.
Look for home runs and settle for singles if you must. You want to
buy stocks that have real chance to double, triple or quadruple (a
four bagger in floor trader parlance). There are many ways to
calculate potential upside price targets.
One widely used approach is to check the historical PE
(price/earnings ratio of a stock). Let's say that the historical PE
for XYZ is 10. Current earnings are $2 per year. The stock would be
selling at $20 ($2 multiplied by the PE ratio of 10) if it was
selling near its historical average. You then look at analysts'
projections for future earnings for XYZ and they project $3.50 a
share next year. If the stock sticks with its historical PE you
could expect that stock to run up to $35 next year ($3.50 X the 10
PE).
Other traders prefer to base projections on chart formations.
History shows that prices move in waves. If the last wave up was $10
from high to low for XYZ, and it was selling at $8 and forming a
bottom, a technical analyst might project $18 for the next upside
target.
There are many ways to project price targets and profit potentials.
It is beyond the scope of this essay to delineate them all. But one
thing you must do is to develop a method for projecting profit
targets. Otherwise how will you know whether it is worth risking
your hard earned money to buy the stocks that your selection method
zeroed in on.
Mistake # 3 Trying to Follow Too Many Stocks
There are over
50,000 stocks traded in the United States alone. Add in the rest of
the world and you have hundreds of thousands of potential stock
investments. Unless you are superhuman there is no way to
realistically monitor that many stocks. If you are trading short
term where you plan to hold your stock anywhere from one day to 30
days, you need to focus like a laser on a select group of stocks
that exhibit a consistent trading pattern that you can easily
recognize and act on.
Short term traders should focus on high volume actively traded
stocks. Some very successful traders focus on only the 30 stocks in
the Dow Jones Industrials. Others look at the NASDAQ 100, a proxy
for the technology sector of the market. Investors Business Daily
newspaper publishes a list of top 100 stocks based on its
proprietary stock selection method every week. The list is available
in spreadsheet format on its website.
For intermediate to long term traders, your horizon can be larger
since you will not be under pressure to develop new trading ideas on
a daily basis. But even here, we caution you against trying to do
too much. The S&P 500 index is a selection of the top 500 industrial
companies in the country. Its stock components do change
periodically though not usually more than once a year. That is a
good starting point.
Some traders prefer to buy low priced stocks. "Penny" stocks are
stocks that sell for $5 or less per share. Penny stock trading has a
bad reputation for a very good reason. There are many charlatans in
the business who hawk stocks solely because the underlying companies
pay them "marketing" fees. If you like the low priced sector, we
recommend that you stick with stocks that are listed on the New York
Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange, or the NASDAQ. Stay
away from the OTC Bulletin Board (BB) and "pink list" stocks. An
occasional gem does pop up out of the OTC BB, but the very high risk
nature of these stocks outweighs the profit potential for the
average investor.
Mistake #4 Failure to Control Your Risk
The single biggest
mistake made by traders both new and experienced is the failure to
control your risk. In Mistake #2 you learned how important it is to
set a reasonable target. If you don't have some idea of the profit
potential it makes no sense at all to invest in a stock.
But likewise, if you do not set strict risk parameters and stick
with them with unfailing discipline, you will never make money
consistently in the stock, option, or futures markets.
The old Wall Street saying is very easy to remember: "Cut your
losses and let your profits run." But it is very difficult to carry
out. The reason for this is simple: no one likes to admit they are
wrong. We all get a little stubborn when it comes to admitting
error.
Many traders became investors in the late 1990s when they bought
high tech stocks at $100 or more per share, then held those stocks
as they fell all the way to $25, $20, $10 or even less. A couple
years of dropping stock prices wiped out the profits of most
individual non-professional traders. The pros knew enough to cut
their losses. They understand that if you run out of chips (money),
you can't trade anymore. If you can't trade anymore then you can't
make money anymore.
The number one goal must be preservation of your capital. If you are
able to preserve your trading capital, then you can always make
another trade. That next trade may just be the one that makes you a
big winner. But if you lost all your money, you will miss out on
that winner!
The secret of trading success is so simple that it is derided by all
the high priced experts peddling expensive advice or trading
systems. The secret to success is to avoid the disasters - the big
losing trades.
It is easy to say but difficult to do. One of the most difficult
aspects of the stock market is that it is an accumulation of human
frailties being played out on a big stage. Traders quickly learn
that the market will do what is necessary to separate them from
their hard earned cash.
One of the first things that every trader experiences is to see the
stock they bought drop down to their stop loss point. They sell at
the stop loss in order to "cut their losses" only to see the stock
turn on a dime then shoot higher, doubling or tripling. The first
thought that leaps to mind is naturally: "If I only would have held
on a little longer, I would have made a fortune."
Trust us, the market will do this time and again. Most traders
finally give in and decide that "this time I'm not going to be
knocked out just before it turns." Of course what happens "this
time" is that the stock does not turn on a dime. It continues to
fall. Pretty soon that $10,000 investment has shriveled to $1,000
and you have little realistic chance of making that money back
anywhere nearly as quickly as you lost it.
Consider the math. If you buy a $30 stock, and it falls to $15, you
have lost 50% or half your investment. But in order for you to get
back to "even" the stock doesn't just have to go up 50%, it must run
up 100% or double, just to get you back to where you started.
It is far better to take a series of small losses. William O'Neill
recommends that you never risk more than 8% on any single stock
position. If you buy a $20 stock, that means you should be selling
it if it drops 8% ($1.60). That cuts your loss and leaves you with
the capital to buy another stock that your selection method ferrets
out for you.
Other successful advisors advise that you divide your trading
capital into 20 equal parts and never risk more than 5% on any one
trade. It would take 20 consecutive losing trades to wipe out your
capital. Hopefully you will recognize a problem with your approach
long before 20 straight maximum losing trades! There are many money
management techniques. We can't say that one is better than another
because the best will depend on your capital, your trading
temperament, and your profit goals. But it is critical that you
adopt a disciplined risk control plan that you adhere to with
unwavering fervor.
Harry Browne, the well known investment advisor, once observed that
it seems like the goal of most investors was to "get out even"
because he heard that mantra so many times. Remember the market does
not care at what price you bought. Getting out even is the mantra of
a perpetual losing trader. If your goal becomes getting out even,
you are lost. Why trade?
Your goal must be to get out with huge profits. Otherwise the wear
and tear of trading is simply too much work. You won't always
achieve that goal. But if you manage to avoid these four mistakes
you will improve your odds of success substantially.
By avoiding these four mistakes, you will move to the upper echelon
of all traders. By now you probably understand that stock trading is
really simply a test of yourself. Your opponent is not the market,
it is you! If you discipline your trading approach to incorporate
reasonable investment selection methods and don't make these four
mistakes, you will make money consistently regularly over the long
term. Don't be fooled, you don't need to invent or buy anything new
or revolutionary. You simply need an approach that makes sense to
you, that you believe in, and that you can and will apply
consistently.
Click Here For Daily Stock
Picks Information |
|